世界银行-全球灾后损失评估（GRADE）报告：阿富汗赫拉特6.3级地震序列2023年10月（英）..docx

PZOJZ<alnso-osQo=qnd©GFDRR W醺逊吧”Mw 6.3 Herat Earthquake Sequence in Afghanistan, October 2023JapanGov1H CXMfcHMlNl L AT¼pzoq< alnsoosQo=qnQ-pzzo号< alnsoosQ-qndQq_qndARTFFGlobalRApidPost-DisasterDamageEstimation(GRADE)ReportDisclaimer©2023InternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank1818HStreetNWWashingtonDC20433Telephone:Internet:WWW.woddbank.orgThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankandtheGlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRevery(GFDRR)withexternalcontributions.Thefindings,analysisandnclusionsexpressedinthisdocumentdonotnecessarilyreflectteviewsofanyindividualpartnerorganizationofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.AlthoughteWorldBankandGFDRRmakereasonableeffortstoensureallteinformationpresentedinthisdocumentisrrect,itsaccuracyandintegritycannotbeguaranteed.Useofanydataorinformationfromtisdocumentisattheuser'sownriskandundernocircumstancesshalltheWorldBank,GFDRRoranyofitspartnersbeliableforanyloss,damage,liabilityorexpenseincurredorSUfferedwhichisdaimedtoresultfromrelianceonthedatacontainedinthisdocument.Theboundaries,colors,denomination,andotherinformationshowninanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.RIGHTSANDPERMISSIONSThematerialinthisworkissubjecttocopyright.BecauseTheWorldBankencouragesdisseminationofitsknowledge,thisworkmaybereproduced,inwholeorinpart,fornoncommercialpurposesaslongasfullattributiontothisworkisgiven.GlobalRApidPost-DisasterDamageEstimation(GRADE)ReportMw6.3HeratEarthquakeSequenceinAfghanistan,October2023AcknowledgementsThisreportwaspreparedbyaWorldBankteamledbyRashminGunasekera(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRecovery-GFDRR)andOscarAnilIshizawaEscudero(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR).TheteamiscomprisedofJamesDaniellzAntoniosPomoniszJohannesBrand,AndreasSchaefer,BanKhazai,RoberthRomero,MarieJohannaGuthzDianaCubasandKerriCoxoftheGFDRR,sGlobalProgramforDisasterRiskAnalyticsandtheWorldBank'sDisasterResilienceAnalyticsandSolutions(D-RAS)team.EditorialsupportwasprovidedbyL.Lau.TheassessmentreceivedfinancialsupportfromGFDRRzAfghanistanResilienceTrustFund(ARTF)zandtheMinistryofFinanceofJapanthroughtheJapan-WorldBankProgramforMainstreamingDisasterRiskManagementinDevelopingCountries.WealsothankthepeerreviewersfromtheWorldBankPhilippPeterman(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SMNUR)andJianVun(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SEAUl).TheteamgratefullyacknowledgestheguidanceandcontributionofthefollowingWorldBankcolleagues:MelindaGood(CountryDirector,SACKB);AbhasJha(PracticeManager,SSACD);NielsB.Holm-Nielsen(PracticeManager,GFDRR);AbedalrazqF.Khalil(PracticeManager,SSAUl);OlivierLavinal(ProgramLeaderforSustainableDevelopment,SSADR);Yunziyi(Lisa)Lang(ClimateChangeSpecialist,SSACD);ElifAyhan(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SSACD);TahirAkbar(SeniorUrbanSpecialist,SACUl);IguniwariThomasEkeu-Wei(ClimateChangeSpecialist,SSACD);CarinaFonsecaFerreira(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,SSACD);EfremFerrari(Consultant,SSACD);ZoeEenaTrohanis(LeadDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MirthaLilianaEscobar(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MaryElinorBoyer(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);LaraSophieMahaLoussert(Consultant,GFDRR);PolNadalCros(Consultant;GFDRR);KeikoSaito(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist,GFDRR);MikaIwasaki(SeniorProgramOcer,GFDRR);YokoKobayashi(SeniorExternalAffairsOcerzGFDRR),PatriciaAnneJaner(Consultant,GCSIMA);ElenaKaraban(Manager,ECRSA);DianaYa-WaiChung(SeniorExternalAffairsOcerzECRSA);andAbdullahYadgare(ExternalAffairsOcerzECRSA).Abbreviations11.0ExecutiveSummary11.1KeyHighlights12.1 Introduction42.1 EventCharacteristicsandDescriptions42.2 HumanandSectoralImpactofEarthquakeinAfghanistan52.3 Fragility,Conflict,andViolence(FCV)Context82.4 Socio-economicVulnerabilityandConsiderations92.2 Post-DisasterRapidDamageEstimationMethodology123.1 Methodology123.2 BuildingBackBetterConsiderations154.0ResultsandInterpretation164.1SummaryofResults161O4.2 InterpretationofResultsandImpacts4.3 BriefComparisontotheGFDRRMulti-HazardRiskAssessment(MHRA)Profile205.0Conclusions225.1 EventSummary225.2 DamageCosts22References23Annex A: DevelopmentofSocialVulnerabilityIndex24Annex B: DataSources28AnnexCiAfghanistanExposureModel30AnnexD:HistoricalEarthqaukesinAfghanistan31Abbreviationscso：CentralStatisticsOceD-RAS:EMS:EMSC:Disaster-ResilienceAnalytics&SolutionsTeam,GPURL,WorldBankEuropeanMacroseismicIntensityScaleEuropean-MediterraneanSeismologicalCentreFAO:GFDRR:GPRL:GRADE:FoodandAgricultureOrganizationGlobalFacilityforDisasterReductionandRecoveryUrban,DisasterRiskManagement,ResilienceandLandGlobalPracticeGlobalRApidpost-disasterDamageEstimationICT:InformationandCommunicationTechno