IMF-自动化与福利:任务与教育的作用(英)-2024.1.docx
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1、INTERNATIONA1.MONETARYFUNDAutomationandWelfare:TheRoleofBequestsandEducationPreparedbyManukGhazanchyan,AlexeiGoumilevski,andAlexMourmourasWP/24/11IMFWorkingPapersdescriberesearchinprogressbytheauthor(三)andarepublishedtoelicitcommentsandtoencouragedebate.TheviewsexpressedinIMFWorkingPapersarethoseoft
2、heauthor(三)anddonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard,orIMFmanagement.WoRK-NGPAPER2024JAN2023InternationalMonetaryFundWP/24/11AutomationandWelfare:TheRoleofBequestsandEducation*PreparedbyManukGhazanchyan5AlexeiGoumilevski,andAlexMourmourasAuthorizedfordistributionbyAlexMourmouras
3、January2024IMFWorkingPapersdescriberesearchinprogressbytheauthor(三)andarepublishedtoelicitcommentsandtoencouragedebate.TheviewsexpressedinIMFWorkingPapersarethoseoftheauthor(三)anddonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard,orIMFmanagement.ABSTRACT:Thispaperexaminesthewelfareeffectsof
4、automationinneoclassicalgrowthmodelswithandwithoutIntergenerationaltransfers.Inastandardoverlappinggenerationsmodelwithoutsuchtransfers,improvementsinautomationtechnologiesthatwouldlowerwelfarecanbemitigatedbyshiftsinlaborsupplyrelatedtodemographicsorpandemics.WithperfectIntergenerationaltransfersba
5、sedonaltruism,automationcouldraisethewell-beingofallgenerations.Withimperfectaltruism,fiscaltransfers(universalbasicincome)andpublicpoliciestoexpandaccesstoeducationopportunitiescanalleviatemuchofthenegativeeffectofautomation.JE1.ClassificationNumbers:E13,E62,D641,1Automation;Aging;Altruism;FiscalPo
6、licy;Education;Keywords:,.OverlappingGenerationsmahazanchyanimf.orq:aqoumilevskiimf.orq;AuthorsE-MailAddresses:amourmourasimf.orqaManukGhazanchyanisanEconomistintheWesternHemisphereDepartment,AlexeiGoumilevskiisaSeniorScientificComputingEngineerintheInformationandTechnologyDepartment,andAlexMourmour
7、asisDivisionChiefintheAsiaPacificDepartment.Presentedatthe28thInternationalConferenceonComputinginEconomicsandFinanceinDallas,Texas,June17-19,h,2022.Wethankconferenceparticipantsfortheirusefulcomments.WearealsogratefultoPeterRangazas1MarinaMendesTavares,andJeremyCliftfortheinsightfulcommentsthatshap
8、edourpaper.ContentsI. Introduction1II. Relevant1.iterature3III. AutomationandWelfareinOverlappingGenerationModels5B. IntroducingaOne-Timetax9C. K&SModelwithaBequest11D. K&SModelwithBequestandEducation141. PrivateEducation152. PublicEducation17IV.ArtificialIntelligence22A.K&SModel22IV.Conclusions26Ap
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- IMF 自动化 福利 任务 教育 作用 2024.1