IMF-冈比亚:选定问题(英)-2024.1.docx
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1、INTERNATIONA1.MONETARYFUNDIMFCountryReportNo.24/16THEGAMBIASelectedissuesJanuary2024ThispaperonTheGambiawaspreparedbyastaffteamoftheInternationalMonetaryFundasbackgrounddocumentationfortheperiodicconsultationwiththemembercountry.ItisbasedontheinformationavailableatthetimeitwascompletedonDecember18,2
2、023.CopiesofthisreportareavailabletothepublicfromInternationalMonetaryFundPublicationServicesPOBox92780Washington,D.C.20090Telephone:(202)623-7430Fax:(202)623-7201E-mail:Dublicationsimf.orgWeb:Price:$18.00perprintedcopyInternationalMonetaryFundWashington,D.C.2024InternationalMonetaryFundDecember18,2
3、023INTERNATIONA1.MONETARYFUNDTHEGAMBIASE1.ECTEDISSUESApprovedByAfricanDepartmentPreparedbytheIMFGambiaTeamCONTENTSTHEGAMBIA:DOMES11CANDEXTERNA1.DRIVERSOFINF1.ABON3A. 1.iteratureReview3B. StylizedFacts4C. EmpiricalAnalysis6HGURES1. HeadlineInflationandDrivers52. InflationandMonetaryPolicyRates63. Exc
4、hangeRatePass-ThroughtoInflation9TAB1.ES1. O1.SRegressionsofInflationandItsDeterminants92. ADFUnitRootTests103. BoundsTestforCointegrationinNon-1.inearSpecification104. NARD1.EstimationResultsforthe1.ong-RunCointegratingVector115. NARD1.EstimationResultsfortheParsimoniousModel11References12THEGAMBIA
5、:C1.IMATECHANGEVU1.NERABI1.ITIESANDSTRATEGIES14A. VulnerabilitiestoClimateHazards14B. ClimateStrategyandPlanning16C. EmissionsandMitigation18D. Adaptation19E. ClimateFinancing21F. PublicFinanceManagement22G. Conclusion23FIGURES1. TotalNumberofNaturalDisasters142. Economic1.ossinTheGambiaAfterNatural
6、Disasters,1990-2023153. AgricultureandFoodVulnerabilityIndicators164. CerealYield165. GHGEmission:TotalBaselineandMitigationScenario2010-2030176. KayaIdentityinTheGambia187. GHGEmissionsbySectorinTheGambia188. Accessto日ectricityandCleanFuels199. AirPollution:WelfareCostsofPrematureMortalitiesfromExp
7、osuretoAmbientPM2.5,GDPEquivalent1910. Adaptation,SDGandAgriculture2111. FertilizerConsumption2112. InvestmentinAdaptationtoClimateChangeNeedsandAidFlows21TAB1.E1.SelectedClimateFinancingAnnouncedin2022-202322References24THEGAMBIA:MACROECONOMICANDDISTRIBUTIONA1.IMP1.ICATIONSOFGENDERGAPS25A. Backgrou
8、nd25B. ModelingandEmpiricalAnalysis28C. ConclusionsandPolicyRecommendations30FIGURES1. GenderInequaIityIndicators,2021262. ImpactofHigherCostofFood283. GainsfromtheSimulations304. WomenEmploymentStatus325. FinancialAccessStrandbyGender326. PerceptionofWomenOwnershipandGovernance32TAB1.ES1.ImpactofHi
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